After the collapse of the Soviet
Union , it became evidente the the higher productivity of free
market economy. But there was a time when this superiority was not at all
obvious. The Soviet Union was a super-power,
in the 30’s it had incredible rates of growth. and the industrial structure was
solid, although weaker than that of West. Criticisms of liberals were rather
unconvincing:, but one of them, the Austrian Von Hayek, put forward am idea
that probably caught the essence of the problems that much later would result
in the collapse of the system. He claimed that although in principle the
optimal allocation of resources can be achieved both in the free market and in
the socialist systems, as discussed in the early XXth century by Barone,, in a
socialist system it is impossible to set reliable prices yo goods and service,
and without reliable price sit is is impossible to decide where to allocate the
resources in an optimal way.
The criticism of von Hayek is often cited. But I was musing
about it when I was studying the Black-Scholes formula, which is about the
pricing of options, the main instrument of modern finance and therefore one of
the main sources of profit in the modern market.-The formula was developed precisely
to define prices of derivatives, which where very difficult to price, but it
relies heavily on a number of assumption that are not necessarily true and in
fact resulted completely wrong in the great financial crisis of 2008. It seems to
me that a consistent pricing system is impossible in the finance market, and
this leads to collapse not very differently to what happened in the Soviet Union .
More generally, I wonder if it is possible to price consistently
services. Derivatives are at least exchanged, and therefore the notion of price
has some meaning. In many services exchange in my opinion has no or little
meaning. You won’t exchange a good medical care with a bad medical care if you
have a disease, or a fly to London for a fly to Munich because the latter is cheaper, if you have to go to
London . And yet
these limitations are exactly the same type of limitations to perfect market
which are the mortal foe of liberiists.
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